Friday 24 January 2014

Election Tracker-2

Friends, here we are again tracking the polls of different states.. In my previous blog I gave you a small comparison of two months i.e June 2013 and Jan 2014 for Gujarat and Maharashtra. As per what was observed the future of Congress looks bleak and addition of AAP in the tally is just taking away the already less votes of congress :D..

 Today we will take a look on central INDIA i.e Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. According to the latest polls BJP is looking to take 50% vote in Chhattisgarh!! and  is easily taking a good lead in Madhya Pradesh.

Lets take a look on Chattisgarh general poll prediction in %.

Parties                                  June 2013                       Jan 2014
BJP                                           47                                50
CONG                                        36                               34
AAP                                           -                                  3

Chhattisgarh also has BSP which is expected to get 4% vote and others are given 9% vote. Though INC gave a tough fight in Assembly elections are expected to go down again

However there is surely some happiness for INC as the people here are satisfied by the National government and Anti Congress Mood has weaken a bit. For example People satisfied with UPA gov has risen from 36% in july to 44% in January and are also satisfied with Manmohan Singh.
  And Chhattisgarh is clearly making BJP favorites not on the account of Modi but because of their own CM Raman Singh. According to the stats its 58 to Raman Singh and 5 to Modi!!

Now in Madhya Pradesh things look 1 sided again as this also being BJP Fort courtesy Shivraj Singh Chauhan is expected to hand BJP another massive victory.

As per the sources there is no AAP from Madhya Pradesh and its gonna be a head to head and as per what is seen.. BJP will be crushing congress
Parties                                     Seats
BJP                                          24-27
INC                                           2-4

And if AAP contest the % votes are gonna be in this way
BJP                      51
CONG                   29
 AAP                    03   
BSP                     05

However unlike Chhattisgarh people back Modi to become the PM. So this is what the result so far would have been if the elections would have held. Clearly BJP is making its mark in the 4 states we are seen more an so because of Modi. But still 3 months to go overconfidence and AAP effect might change the equation. BJP will hope its not 2004 deja vu again. Will get you poll estimations for other 2 states tomorrow.. Till then have a good day :)

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